Adam Bannister

Editor, IFSEC Global

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Adam Bannister was Editor of IFSEC Global from 2014 through to November 2019. Adam is also a former Managing Editor at Dynamis Online Media Group.
February 3, 2015

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Security Trends for 2015: Internet of Things and Border Security – But Not Drones


This won’t be a common site over your house any time soon (Photo: Nevit Dilmen under CC3.0 Licence)

Drones will eventually become a regular feature of law enforcement but 2015 won’t be the breakthrough year, Frost & Sullivan predicts in its latest report.

One of eight major predictions published in Security Outlook 2015, the market research firm’s forecast is predicated on legal obstacles to occupying airspace over populated areas.

Frost & Sullivan makes the following eight predictions in Security Outlook 2015.

  1. There will be at least 10 major acquisitions in the cyber security market throughout 2015. As the digital and real economies become increasingly intertwined the spoils and damage for hackers and targeted businesses respectively are increasingly profound. Mindful of the threat big business will look to expand their cyber portfolio through acquisitions and partnerships.
  2. Although a major cyber event is not always easy to define, Frost & Sullivan expects the number of recorded incidents to grow again in 2015. Critical national infrastructure will be a major target, the research firm predicts, from airports to utilities, government systems and oil and gas. Breaches will extend beyond IP theft to operational incidents and downtime.
  3. Global investment in border security will grow by more than 7% amid mounting concerns over illegal immigration, displacement of people from conflicts and the growing terrorism threat.
  4. The Internet of Things (IoT) bandwagon will gather pace with both the US and Europe likely to tender significant contracts for IoT-related hardware and analytics. 2015 will be widely recognised as the year that the market becomes accustomed to these new technologies although misgivings over security will initially dampen growth. We expect upwards of 10 significant case studies in 2015.
  5. Wearable devices or body-worn video – very much linked to the IoT trend above – will become ubiquitous across US and European police forces. The Michael Brown case in the US has accelerated adoption, albeit the trend was well in train anyway.
  6. After years of inertia among India’s politicians the thumping victory of the BJP Party in May 2014 new Prime Minister Nahendra Modi has the mandate to overhaul India’s creaking urban infrastructure. Already 6,000 surveillance cameras are being installed in Mumbai and the country is planning to build 100 ‘safe/smart cities’. Frost & Sullivan expects 10 Indian cities to announce major security/surveillance programmes in 2015.
  7. Recent terrorist tragedies in Australia, Canada, France and across the Middle East will generate debate on intelligence and privacy. Growing concern about technologically sophisticated terrorism networks will eclipse concerns over privacy and the backlash against the NSA. Law enforcement will continue to harness web intelligence and big-data analytics as budgets are reconsidered. Frost & Sullivan also expects expect a change in the law in at least one G20 country to boost the fight against terrorism by counter-terror agencies.
  8. While investment in big data analytics, IoT technologies and integrated security solutions will continue to grow, there won’t be significant investment from law enforcement in unmanned aerial vehicles (also known as drones) in 2015. While there will be some contract wins, it’s too soon to overcome tricky legal and safety issues related to airspace and flying over populated areas, while the return on investment is, as yet, unconvincing. Drones will become major feature of 21st century law enforcement, Frost & Sullivan believes – just not in 2015.

“Citizen safety is back at the top of the political agenda and funding will be made available to combat technologically astute adversaries,” says Vice President for Aerospace, Defence & Security at Frost & Sullivan, Steven Webb.

“Cyber security will also remain a key concern. Greater collaboration and information sharing between government and industry is expected as executives become increasingly aware of the threat to their business operations and shareholder value.

“However, the extent of collaboration and rate of investment will continue to lag behind the mounting cyber threat to critical national infrastructure.”

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